Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006888 0.007701 0.008588 0.009630 0.010824 0.012154 0.013752
2025-04-13 0.005441 0.006509 0.007771 0.009384 0.011405 0.013875 0.017153
2025-04-20 0.004716 0.005896 0.007367 0.009354 0.012004 0.015461 0.020393
2025-04-27 0.004331 0.005615 0.007286 0.009655 0.012984 0.017584 0.024577
2025-05-04 0.003925 0.005242 0.007017 0.009635 0.013480 0.019058 0.028025
2025-05-11 0.003625 0.004970 0.006841 0.009699 0.014071 0.020706 0.031942
2025-05-18 0.003328 0.004666 0.006579 0.009595 0.014375 0.021926 0.035331
2025-05-25 0.003131 0.004485 0.006473 0.009702 0.015001 0.023711 0.039923
2025-06-01 0.002916 0.004256 0.006270 0.009627 0.015311 0.024996 0.043818
2025-06-08 0.002669 0.003956 0.005929 0.009293 0.015142 0.025419 0.046159
2025-06-15 0.002526 0.003807 0.005812 0.009313 0.015576 0.026955 0.050892
2025-06-22 0.002466 0.003783 0.005890 0.009666 0.016634 0.029773 0.058718
2025-06-29 0.002273 0.003536 0.005593 0.009357 0.016479 0.030318 0.061988
2025-07-06 0.002107 0.003323 0.005338 0.009101 0.016405 0.031030 0.065823
2025-07-13 0.001996 0.003194 0.005216 0.009074 0.016764 0.032673 0.072150
2025-07-20 0.001946 0.003164 0.005262 0.009364 0.017791 0.035883 0.083018
2025-07-27 0.001853 0.003053 0.005153 0.009344 0.018173 0.037727 0.090829
2025-08-03 0.001780 0.002970 0.005090 0.009406 0.018734 0.040063 0.100531
2025-08-10 0.001690 0.002853 0.004953 0.009306 0.018924 0.041544 0.108182
2025-08-17 0.001634 0.002792 0.004918 0.009409 0.019582 0.044276 0.120256
2025-08-24 0.001560 0.002695 0.004804 0.009337 0.019827 0.046000 0.129682
2025-08-31 0.001462 0.002546 0.004582 0.009015 0.019443 0.046026 0.133626
2025-09-07 0.001410 0.002481 0.004520 0.009034 0.019887 0.048344 0.145974